60% Odds US Forces Enter Iran by Month-End

Description

This Polymarket market is pricing a long Iran conflict, not a quick resolution. While Trump says the war should be over in "two weeks, maybe three," the market is leaning the other way. Around 60% odds of US forces entering Iran by the end of April. Nearly 30% odds that this is still dragging on by year-end. These numbers point to a bigger story: escalation is becoming the base case. #Polymarket #IranWar #Markets #Trump #Politics