Bitcoin Analyst Cites Cycle Bottom, Eyes $86K-$88K and 50-Week MA
Markets
Bullish

Bitcoin Analyst Cites Cycle Bottom, Eyes $86K-$88K and 50-Week MA

Analyst Michaël van de Poppe says Bitcoin has reached its cycle bottom and is in a sustained uptrend that has lifted the asset 20% since early April. He identifies two resistance zones ahead: $86,000-$88,000 and the 50-week moving average, based on historical patterns from 2017 to 2024.

May 11, 2026, 05:03 PM1 min read

Key Takeaways

  • 1## Analyst's Cycle Bottom Thesis Michaël van de Poppe, a widely-followed market commentator, stated that Bitcoin has already established its cycle bottom.
  • 2The asset has been in an uptrend since early April, rising from around $67,500 to a recent peak near $80,000—a gain of approximately 20% over that period.
  • 3## Two Key Resistance Levels Ahead Van de Poppe identified two resistance zones based on historical patterns spanning 2017 to 2024.
  • 4The first lies between $86,000 and $88,000, a price band that previously served as major support from November through January before the market sell-off that ended January.
  • 5According to the analyst's framework, the first rally in a bull cycle often encounters resistance at the last significant support level.

Analyst's Cycle Bottom Thesis

Michaël van de Poppe, a widely-followed market commentator, stated that Bitcoin has already established its cycle bottom. The asset has been in an uptrend since early April, rising from around $67,500 to a recent peak near $80,000—a gain of approximately 20% over that period.

Two Key Resistance Levels Ahead

Van de Poppe identified two resistance zones based on historical patterns spanning 2017 to 2024. The first lies between $86,000 and $88,000, a price band that previously served as major support from November through January before the market sell-off that ended January. According to the analyst's framework, the first rally in a bull cycle often encounters resistance at the last significant support level.

The second, more significant barrier is the 50-week moving average. This long-term technical indicator tracks the average closing price of Bitcoin over the past 50 weeks and is commonly used by traders to identify major support and resistance levels in broader market trends.

Why It Matters

For Traders

If Bitcoin approaches $86K-$88K, watch whether the level holds or breaks as a signal for near-term continuation or pullback in the current rally.

For Investors

A sustained move above the 50-week MA would suggest the longer-term downtrend that defined late 2024 has structurally reversed, though single-analyst calls warrant broader confirmation.

For Builders

No direct product or protocol implications; this is market-structure analysis rather than fundamental infrastructure news.

Live prices:Bitcoin

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