BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF Edges S&P 500 Fund Despite Bitcoin's Volatility
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BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF Edges S&P 500 Fund Despite Bitcoin's Volatility

BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust has delivered marginally higher returns than Vanguard's S&P 500 ETF over a measured period, though the bitcoin fund experienced a 53% maximum drawdown compared to a shallower decline in the equity fund. The narrow outperformance masks significantly different risk profiles between the two investments.

Sep 3, 2026, 12:09 AM1 min read

Written by CoinArticle’s AI Newsroom · from 2 cited sources. How we work

Return Comparison

BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) has outperformed Vanguard's S&P 500 ETF by 1.60 percentage points, according to return calculations cited by the two sources. While the margin is measurable, it represents a narrow lead over a broad-market equity fund and does not account for the volatility investors endured to achieve it.

Divergent Risk Profiles

The bitcoin fund experienced a maximum drawdown of 53% during the measurement period, nearly three times deeper than the decline recorded by the S&P 500 ETF, according to CryptoSlate's analysis. This disparity illustrates a key structural difference: bitcoin's price swings are substantially larger than those of a diversified stock index, even when trailing returns converge. An investor who purchased IBIT at its peak would have seen the value drop by more than half before the recovery that ultimately delivered the headline outperformance.

Context

The comparison reflects bitcoin's rally from late 2023 into 2024, during which the asset recovered from prior declines. BlackRock's bitcoin ETF, launched in January 2024 following SEC approval of spot bitcoin exchange-traded products, has attracted significant inflows as institutional investors gained direct exposure to the asset. The S&P 500's relatively muted performance in the same window created space for a volatile, upward-trending asset to post better absolute returns.

Why It Matters

For Traders

Spot bitcoin ETF performance relative to equities affects tactical allocation decisions, but the 1.60-point margin offers limited signal on near-term direction.

For Investors

Bitcoin and equity returns have decoupled this cycle, but bitcoin's 53% drawdown versus equity's shallower decline shows the correlation benefits of diversification remain asymmetric.

For Builders

Institutional ETF flows validate spot crypto exposure as an asset class, but protocol builders should not expect mainstream adoption velocity to accelerate from marginal performance leads.

This article is for information only and is not financial advice. Read the full disclaimer.

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