Commodity Markets Council Opposes Kalshi Oil Futures, Cites Market Integrity Risks
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Commodity Markets Council Opposes Kalshi Oil Futures, Cites Market Integrity Risks

The Commodity Markets Council, which includes CME Group and other major US commodity exchanges, has urged the CFTC to reject Kalshi's proposed perpetual oil futures contract. The group cited concerns about market integrity and potential increased complexity and volatility.

Oct 23, 2026, 07:02 AM1 min read

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Industry Group Lodges Opposition

The Commodity Markets Council (CMC), a trade association representing major US commodity exchanges including CME Group, has submitted a formal recommendation to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission asking it to block Kalshi's proposed perpetual oil futures contract. The CMC raised concerns that approval could introduce unintended complexity and volatility into existing oil markets.

Arguments Against Approval

The CMC argues that rejecting Kalshi's contract would preserve the current structure and integrity of oil commodity markets. The group's position suggests that perpetual futures—which have no expiration date and are common in crypto derivatives—pose risks when applied to traditional commodity markets that have long relied on standard quarterly contract expirations and established market participants.

Next Steps at the CFTC

The CFTC must weigh the CMC's concerns against Kalshi's application. Kalshi, a prediction market platform, has been expanding into financial derivatives beyond its original focus on event contracts. The outcome will test how US regulators balance incumbent market structures against new entrants seeking to offer novel contract types.

Why It Matters

For Traders

If the CFTC blocks Kalshi's contract, traders lose access to a new perpetual oil derivatives venue; approval would create direct competition with CME's oil futures and potentially lower trading costs.

For Investors

The decision signals how US regulators will treat crypto-native trading mechanisms applied to traditional commodity markets, setting precedent for other alternative venues seeking CFTC approval.

For Builders

Regulatory rejection of perpetual futures in traditional commodities may limit which asset classes derivative platforms can target, reshaping go-to-market strategy for fintech trading infrastructure.

This article is for information only and is not financial advice. Read the full disclaimer.

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