When Could Quantum Computers or AI Break Bitcoin? An Updated Threat Window

Ethereum researcher Justin Drake warned that ECDSA could break before Q-Day, possibly in months. Alex Pruden of Project Eleven tells Laura Shin why new error-correction results from Google and Quantinuum push him toward the earlier end of his Q-Day window, 2030 at the earliest and 2033 to 2035 as more likely than not, while Conor Deegan argues "A-Day" for AI may already be here and that the post-quantum and post-AI migrations are the same work. ======================================================================== Host: 👉 Laura Shin - Founder, CEO and Host of Unchained - https://x.com/laurashin Guests: 👉 Alex Pruden - Co-founder and CEO of Project Eleven - https://x.com/apruden08 👉 Conor Deegan - CTO of Project Eleven - https://x.com/conordeegan ======================================================================== This clip is from a longer conversation on whether AI could break the cryptography securing blockchains before quantum computers do. Full episode here: https://youtu.be/N7qSzbwejxU We go live twice every week - subscribe to catch it live. Sponsor Put your crypto to work with Nexo: earn daily interest or borrow funds against your assets on one platform trusted by more than 10 million clients. Find out more at Nexo https://unchainedcrypto.com/go/nexo-podcast-yt Geo-restrictions, eligibility and terms apply. ======================================================================== Chapters: 🗓️ 00:00 Justin Drake's warning that ECDSA could break before Q-Day ⚛️ 01:08 What new error-correction results from Google and Quantinuum mean for Q-Day 📅 01:37 Alex's Q-Day window: 2030 at the earliest, 2033 to 2035 more likely 🤖 02:50 Why AI timelines are harder to call than quantum ones 🔁 03:04 Why Conor says the post-quantum and post-AI migrations are the same work 🚦 04:24 Why chains should start migrating now, without panicking ======================================================================== #bitcoin #ethereum #crypto #cryptocurrencies ======================================================================== Subscribe to our channel! Website → https://unchainedcrypto.com Unchained Daily Newsletter (FREE!)→ https://unchainedcrypto.beehiiv.com/subscribe/ Unchained X → https://x.com/unchained_pod Apple → https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/id1123922160?ls=1 Spotify → https://open.spotify.com/show/1cJrrfGY1SKBIRn5noKSAf?si=6SI4qIcRTEO7EhOe0V9n4w RSS Feed → https://feeds.megaphone.fm/LSHML4761942757 Unchained: Your no-hype resource for all things crypto!