XRP Holds Above $1.25 as Analysts Split on Next Support and Recovery Path
XRP traded between roughly $1.20 and $1.34 over the past week, with the $1.25 level acting as the key short-term support. Analysts differ on whether the $1.20 area marks a final washout or whether a break lower would open a path toward $1.00.
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Price Action and Key Levels
XRP recovered toward $1.34 after briefly dipping near $1.20 last week, then pulled back to $1.26 in the most recent session, according to CryptoPotato's technical review. The move lifted the token above the upper boundary of a short-term descending channel on the 4-hour chart, though the rebound has not yet been confirmed on the daily timeframe.
On the daily chart, the $1.25 zone is the base of the mid-September rebound. Sellers pushed XRP to about $1.20 at the end of October, but buyers absorbed that move and the price closed back above the area. The $1.40 October lower high and the $1.50 region, which CryptoPotato describes as a strong bearish order block, are the next resistance levels.
The Bearish Case
CryptoPotato's analysis treats the recovery as incomplete. A decisive daily close below $1.25 would invalidate the recent reclaim and expose the $1.10 zone, with the $1.00 region as the major floor that held through July and August. The publication notes that the short-term structure leans constructive, but says confirmation requires buyers to hold $1.25 and clear $1.40.
The Bullish Case From Market Commentary
NewsBTC reports that one analyst views the $1.20 area as a final washout that could precede a larger rally, and does not expect XRP to fall below $1. That view depends on broader conditions, which the analyst said are dominated by Middle East tensions, crude oil supply concerns, a prolonged US bond market drawdown, and thin breadth in US equities. He expects a larger move later in 2026 and says he plans to keep buying on weakness.
Where the Sources Diverge
The two sources are not describing the same risk. CryptoPotato frames the $1.00 to $1.10 zone as a live downside target if $1.25 fails, while the NewsBTC analyst rules out a break below $1 and treats $1.20 as the floor. Both agree $1.20 is the reference low, but they disagree on whether it has already held as a bottom. Neither source provides on-chain volume or flow data to resolve the disagreement, and the NewsBTC view rests on a single analyst's video commentary rather than a measured indicator.
Macro Backdrop
NewsBTC attributes the broader crypto selloff to Bitcoin falling below key support and to geopolitical risk affecting oil markets. The analyst argues these pressures keep risk assets vulnerable to another leg lower, even as he expects long-term recovery. Neither source quantifies the macro linkage, so it should be read as the analyst's interpretation rather than established causation.
Why It Matters
For Traders
The $1.25 level is the immediate line between a confirmed short-term reclaim and a false breakout, so a daily close on either side will likely set the next move.
For Investors
Analysts disagree on whether $1.20 is a durable floor, and the outcome will test whether the recent range holds through a period of macro stress.
For Builders
Protocols and products that price XRP exposure or depend on its liquidity should monitor the $1.00 to $1.25 range, since a break would change collateral and risk assumptions.
This article is for information only and is not financial advice. Read the full disclaimer.
